(Dear reader: please excuse the font mess here, typepad seems to have a problem putting it all into one font.)
It appears that Ordinary Gweilo is up to his old tricks again – personal attacks, selective quoting, and sitting firmly on the fence.
Mr. G takes issue with my letter to the post earlier this week – questioning the objectivity of the source of one of my quotes, one Robert Carter of James Cook University. This is a common tactic of the left – attack a scientist because he is getting funding from a corporation. As I explained in the previous post, this argument can equally be applied to scientists who are trying to get government funding – invent a scary story to get a politician to finance the work. One actually needs some sort of PROOF before saying someone’s work is flawed – saying they get money from government or private sources is not proof.
I also explained that the 17,000 scientists that signed the petition organized by the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine (OISM) were not “right-wing politicians, businessmen, entertainment stars and a few academics”. They were ordinary scientists rejecting claims by the politically charged IPCC that global warming is man-made. The credentials of the signatories were carefully checked. Two-thirds had advanced degrees in science.
Mr. G also selectively ignores a key part of my letter to the post. Maybe he also missed the point, which was to show that there was NO scientific consensus as Al Gore claims. From my original letter:
In a recent [Wall Street Journal] op-ed Richard Lindzen, the Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Atmospheric Science at MIT, stated that there was no scientific consensus on global warming. He also noted, “Such claims also serve to intimidate the public and even scientists–especially those outside the area of climate dynamics.” He called Mr. Gore’s movie “shrill alarmism”.
To look at Mr. G’s comments on the issue of global warming:
However, we don’t really know whether global warming is going to continue, what (if anything) we can do about it, or what impact it will have.
This is just hot air – taking two views and balancing them out. One can do with this with anything. Imagine the police saying, well we have the statement from the bank robbers, and the bank tellers. We better let the robbers go, because we don’t know who is telling the truth. He goes on:
The question is whether they will wondering why we were worrying about it, or why we failed to do anything about it before it was too late.
I think that it’s entirely possible that at some time in the future people will look back at the arguments about global warming and wonder why it was such a controversial subject.
More space filling hot air. It’s like saying: "Either Australia or England will probably win the Ashes". He goes on:
Surely common sense dictates that we should take the problem seriously and do something about it, but it doesn’t have to be the scary things that some people seem to fear.
I think Mr. G is confused over common sense, and is using it as gut feeling. When one acts on common sense, one usually looks at the facts of the matter. The facts are that global warming alarmists rely almost exclusively on computer models predicting 50 years into the future. They can’t even forecast the weather ten days ahead. These models have been notoriously unreliable. If one looks at the typical statements that accompany these models, they typically use words like could, might, perhaps. (Christine Loh’s columns are riddled with them.) The global models say nothing. They are just arbitrary statements. He concludes:
Now, that wasn’t painful, was it? I think I’d have to agree with The Economist:
…although the science remains uncertain, the chances of serious consequences are high enough to make it worth spending the (not exorbitant) sums needed to try to mitigate climate change.
He does not say how he arrives at those chances. Did he just balance out the views of two conflicting sets of scientists. This brings me back to the original theme of my letters. There is no overwhelming scientific consensus that global warming is man made as Al Gore claims. As Richard Straw notes in his letter to the SCMP:
Here’s the bottom line. Many leading scientists, including members of the US National Academy of Sciences, simply do not believe that man’s carbon-dioxide input is big enough to alter the Earth-ocean-atmosphere system. It is like pouring one more beer down the throat of a hefty expat in a Wan Chai bar – it will have a negligible impact.